The Balkans -The Next Tinderbox


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After its military interventions in Ukraine and Syria,will Russia invade the Balkans next?

Ever since Serbia declared war on the Ottoman Empire in 1876, the Balkans have been one of the most incendiary of conflicts in the world. After Syria the next big conflagration could well be the Balkans.

With Russia flexing its muscles all over the globe including its invasion of Crimea (which it annexed) and the Ukraine in 2014, and establishing a joint military campaign with Bashar Assad in Syria in 2015, there is grave concern that Putin’s next move will be an invasion of the Balkans.

Most remember that the Balkans sparked the outbreak of World War I with the assassination of the heir to the throne of Austria Hungary Archduke Franz Ferdinand on June 28th, 1914 by a Bosnian Serb nineteen year old Gavrilo Princip.

The Balkan Peninsula consists of Albania, Bosnia&Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia all formerly under Communist control and Greece and European Turkey with a capitalist past. It is situated at the crossroads of three major empires:1)The Ottoman Empire, 2)Russian, and 3)Austri-Hungarian.

It is best known today for the fact that the First Lady, Melania Trump is from the Balkan Country of Slovenia. It is also possible that the First Lady will play a significant role in preventing bloodshed in the Balkans.

In the past 20 years, the main conflict was seen in Kosovo. The so called “Tomahawk Diplomacy” of President Bill Clinton ended the conflict in 1999. The Kosovo War began in February of 1998 and ended in June of 1999. It was fought by forces of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (Montenegro and Serbia) which controlled Kosovo before the War against the Kosovo Albanian rebel group-Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA) with air support from NATO and ground support from the Albanian Army. President Clinton’s Tomahawk Diplomacy forced Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic to halt his brutal siege of Kosovo and negotiate with the province’s ethnic Albanians.

Presently, the Russians are itching to invade the Balkans in order to gain a stranglehold on Central Europe and the Mediterranean. One of its prime targets is Albania which is the window to the Mediterranean from Russia. Putin is trying to resurrect the former USSR which held dominion over the Balkans.

Under President Obama, the Russians were allowed to invade Crimea, the Ukraine and hold sway in Syria. It was a colossal foreign policy disaster for America and the world. It is now up to President Trump to prevent further Russian aggression.

Putin so far has been kept at bay. He is former KGB so he will pick the moment the President is least expecting, to invade the Balkans. The President and his administration must be on high alert to prevent the Balkans from becoming another Tinderbox.


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Presently, the Russians are itching to invade the Balkans in order to gain a stranglehold on Central Europe and the Mediterranean. One of its prime targets is Albania which is the window to the Mediterranean from Russia. Putin is trying to resurrect the former USSR which held dominion over the Balkans.
He sure is, and I totally agree Erika. It's all about money and power with him.

I expect he wants easy access to Europe for the oil he plans to sell from Syria (and will plan to steal from Israel in the near future) and he simply covets control of the whole area.

The Bosphorus connects the Black Sea (where Crimea and the Ukraine are along with the Russian city of Sochi, where Russia held the 2014 Winter Olympics) to the Sea of Marmara and thru the Dardanelles to the Mediterranean. And it all runs thru Turkey on both sides.

It was no accident Putin attacked and took the Crimean peninsula right after the Olympics while Obama was in power. No accident Putin chose to enter Syria after Obama showed his red lines were meaningless.

In my opinion he may have a long range plan for a pincer movement to trap and control and eventually take over Turkey. He is well on the way to gaining the Ukraine thru destabilization from within, the Balkans are vulnerable and he has Syria already.

Turkey is a problem for Russia as they try to navigate from the Black Sea to the Sea of Marmara and then into the Med. That is a considerable risk for Russia as their ships and subs are susceptible to surveillance and attack in that passage which is held by Turkey on both sides.

I suspect Russia may have long term plans to take over that northern western part of Turkey that sits on the Russian side of the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles and the Sea of Marmara. This is a chunk of Turkey that sits on the north and western side of that valuable waterway that would be ever so vulnerable to Russia if they gain control of the Balkans, the Ukraine and Crimea.

From there he could complete the pincer and gain complete control of the land from Syria north to the Arctic Circle. Combined with his movements in North Africa, and it's all about the oil money.

It wouldn't be a shock if we could read his twisty little Russian brain, and I bet we would see plans to use Israel's gas and oil as well as creation of a land based pipeline connecting North Africa thru Israel, thru Syria, north thru Turkey over the Dardanelles and into the Balkans to Europe.


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Thanks Athenasius for your brilliant observations! I think you're the best at reading his 'twisty little Russian brain'.
He reminds me of my late mother in law. I did love her, I detest Putin, but the same drive to conquer was in both. You should have seen her in action in the Russian Community Center and the Russian Orthodox Church! Awe inspiring and scary. Unlike Putin, she was quite compassionate in her ruthless drive to do what SHE thought was best for all concerned.

Last night I thought some more and did a headslap. I just realized how Erdogan's growing dislike of the NATO, and the West, especially America is in my opinion anyway, being encouraged by Putin and the Russians.

It's a CLASSIC Russian technique in isolating a target country from it's allies. Making friends with that country, becoming indispensable all while helping cut the ties to any old allies in the West.

Turkey IS a target of Russia, just down the road a bit.