Lapid should thank Silman for making him PM - analysis


Staff member
Lapid should thank Silman for making him PM - analysis
A look at the possible political scenarios after the coalition chairwoman’s resignation.
Published: APRIL 6, 2022

With the resignation of coalition chairwoman Idit Silman, the always-shaky coalition is more precarious than ever, having lost its majority in the Knesset. There are a number of possible outcomes from Silman’s move, but the most likely is an election later this year, with Foreign Minister Yair Lapid as interim prime minister for at least a few months. The coalition and opposition are now tied, with 60 seats each. In theory, the opposition only needs to tempt one more coalition MK onto its side to form a new government without an election. Almost all of Yamina’s remaining MKs are viewed as weak links, with Interior Minister Ayelet Shaked, Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s perennial political partner, as the crown jewel.

However, the opposition is actually divided: 54 under the leadership of former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and another six in the predominately Arab Joint List, which means the opposition leader needs to convince seven MKs to join him. While there are more than seven right-wing coalition lawmakers, New Hope and Yisrael Beytenu vowed not to be in a government led by Netanyahu and have thus far kept that promise; Yamina, which never said that, only has five MKs still in the coalition, including Bennett. Netanyahu could let someone else on the Right be in charge, but he didn’t do that in our last four-elections-in-a-row cycle.