Ex-intel, atomic chiefs: Why are there so many Iran nuke estimates?

Chris

Administrator
Staff member
Ex-intel, atomic chiefs: Why are there so many Iran nuke estimates?
Former IDF intelligence chief Amos Yadlin and former Israel Atomic Energy Official Ephraim Asculai explain why there are so many estimates for the Iran nuke breakout timeline.
By YONAH JEREMY BOB
JANUARY 12, 2021

Between the US, IDF Intelligence, the Mossad and others, the length of time it would take Iran to break out to a nuclear weapon if it wanted to now ranges from three months to two years. How can estimates from highly knowledgeable nuclear experts diverge to such a great extent – and who is right? There are a series of variables that make each position defensible, former IDF Intelligence chief Amos Yadlin and former Israel Atomic Energy official Ephraim Asculai said Monday in an Institute for National Strategic Studies paper. Yadlin is executive director of the INSS, where Asculai is a senior fellow. They recommend a middle position, estimating that the Islamic Republic is eight months to a year from a nuclear bomb. But their in-depth explanation of the variables is just as important as their conclusion. The first variable is how quickly Tehran can enrich and weaponize enough uranium for a bomb.

more............. https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/i...-are-there-so-many-iran-nuke-estimates-655139
 
Top