
Originally Posted by
Sean Osborne
The two months SECDEF Gates is "giving" - the termination of which occurs late September 2009 - is precisely consistent with the termination of the six month period of time that Obama asked Israel for so he could work his Iranian "engagement" plan, and the six month period of time in which Netanyahu agreed no unilateral Israel strike would occur. Those six months were announced in March by both leaders and confirmed in their face-to-face meeting in mid-May.
Then came the successful launch of the Sejjil nuclear weapon delivery missile, Ahmadi-Nejad's faux election victory, the announcement of yet a further increase in the number of Iran's operating nuclear enrichment centrifuges, and finally the announcement of the start up of the Bushehr reactor this fall. All of these factors are at work in Israel's decision on when the red-line will have been crossed and a preemptive strike on Iran becomes an existential mandate for Israel.
It's also notable that Israeli intelligence made clear from the get-go that the six month "window" was too much time, that an Israeli preemptive strike should occur sooner rather than later.
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