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Thread: Cooking unemployment

  1. #1
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    Default Cooking unemployment

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    In Christ,

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    Default Re: Cooking unemployment

    Why weren’t there as many job losses this January? Very likely because the weather throughout the country is a lot milder this year than during the past two Januarys.
    A loss of jobs that isn’t as bad as expected turns into a job gain. Does that mean there really are 243,000 new jobs out there? Absolutely not.
    Let’s say there are rumors in your company that 300 people are going to be laid off. Instead, management decides to fire just 200.
    Two hundred people, of course, have lost their jobs. But, adjusting it for expectations, 100 people didn’t get fired. Using this analogy, the government would say that, on an expectation-adjusted basis, 100 jobs were created.
    That’s sort of what happened in the January employment report because of seasonal adjustment.
    The numbers themselves shouldn’t be changed because continuity from year to year is important for comparisons. But people should be alerted when seasonal adjustments are screwing with the numbers.
    Someday things will be better. Maybe even in our lifetime.

    Excellent post Mike!!



    Read more: Rosy jobs report a ruse - NYPOST.com
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    Default Re: Cooking unemployment

    There was no question that the numbers were cooked. As the old saying goes, "If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is".
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    Default Re: Cooking unemployment

    Quote Originally Posted by Meg View Post
    There was no question that the numbers were cooked. As the old saying goes, "If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is".
    Yep. State and city governments do not go bankrupt with 8-10% unemployment. Never did, never have. It's closer to 20%.
    WESTERN KENTUCKY UNIVERSITY HILLTOPPERS: 44 conference championships, third-most in NCAA history. 40 seasons with 20+ wins, sixth-most in NCAA history. 38 All-Americans, 35 national post-season appearances, 22 NCAA Tournament berths. 14th in NCAA history in all-time wins. 8th in NCAA history in all-time winning percentage (.670). 2002 NCAA Division 1AA National Football Champions

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    Default Re: Cooking unemployment

    Another factor is the number of individuals on the unemployment rolls. Not the number of newbies on unemployment, but the total number. When someone runs out of unemployment eligibility, but still doesn't have a job, then they aren't counted as being unemployed.

    Figures don't lie, but........figure.
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    readyforhome is offline Citizen
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    Default Re: Cooking unemployment

    Yeah, I've been hearing about this too. Though I'm sure this has been done repeatedly over the years by different politicians.

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